On the sample questions in the PM Prepcast regarding PERT that I pasted below, why is it that the formula used to answer the question is the Beta distribution E=(O+4M+P)/6 instead of Triangular Distribution E=(O+M+P)/3? I answered letter C using triangular which is wrong as per below. I am now confused on when to use BETA and triangular formula. Please advise. Thanks
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Question 8: A project requires securing government approval before the project work can begin. According to government policy it should take 30 days for the government to issue the approval provided that all necessary paperwork is complete. In the past, it has been observed that 45 days is the most likely turnaround time for such applications approval. If any objection is imposed due to incomplete paperwork, it may take up to 90 days to secure the approval. What would be the expected activity duration using PERT?
A.) 30 days
B.) 45 days
C.) 55 days
D.) 50 days Correct answer is D
Explanation: PERT is a Three-Point Estimate. The PERT formula is "Duration = (Optimistic + 4*Most Likely + Pessimistic)/6". Using this formula, we get an expected duration of 50 days.
Reference: PMBOK Guide 5th Edition, page 171